What we learned from Game Week 38 - Final Day

Monday, May 14 2018

 

Well, that’s that for another season. In the Premier League at least. We escaped a treacherous looking coupon about 5pts to the good. 

Final Day is predictably unpredictable – away wins for Bournemouth, Stoke and Arsenal (their first away points of 2018) and nine-goals at Spurs were never getting backed. But United, Liverpool and City (eventually) did the business and kept our heads above water.

GW 38

Strikerate

Pts Profit

Tap Ins

5 out of 7

-0.22

Smart bets

3 out of 8

-1.15

Long Shots

1 out of 4

7.0

Scorecasts

1 out of 10

-1.5

 

Could’ve done with Burnley not throwing away a half-time lead and a West Brom goal would also have cracked a smile. But smashing in a 10/1 Long Shot at Newcastle gave me a warm, fuzzy feeling.

So here’s the end of season report card…

Season 2017/2018:

Points Profit:

Tap Ins

0.65

Smart bets

24.22

Long Shots

13.07

Scorecasts

-2.00

Total

35.94

 

With an additional 47.72pts to be added from our weekly Coupon Busters, that’s Badmen 83.66pts in front for the season. To £10 stakes that's £836.60 worth of beer tokens. 

No drama…

The only real potential for drama was at Swansea, where it turns out a 10-goal win against Stoke would’ve been enough with Man City pinching a last minute winner at Southampton
Instead the Swans revealed themselves to be ugly duckling after all, rolling over to their fellow Championship newbies.

The (surely soon to be departing) Carlos Carvalhal blamed the team’s poor start. I guess we’re to take it he means the bit before he arrived. And definitely not the last nine, from which they dredged just 3pts, no wins and 3 goals. 

…just harsh reality.

Their run-in included matches against Huddersfield, West Brom, Southampton and Stoke. All teams that ended up either relegated or who could’ve been sent down in their place. But they could only muster draws at West Brom and Huddersfield – with a total of just ONE shot on target from BOTH matches – and lost the other two.

THAT is what’s to blame, Carlos.  

Keep an eye on your inbox for my summer betting bulletins, including any value I spot at home and abroad. I’ve got the World Cup in my crosshairs and will update shortly. Shorty.
  

Matt Nesbitt

Ben Dinnery

Ben Dinnery

@BenDinnery

Ben is football’s leading injury specialist. The ‘go-to’ guru for big hitters like Sky Sports, ESPN and NBC Sports when they need data. Or the BBC, talkSPORT and the broadsheets when a quote is required. His unique insight has helped provide a better understanding of what is really happening in the treatment rooms.


Johnny Wilson

Johnny Wilson

@johnny_wilson5

Johnny is a respected physiotherapist and sports scientist, specialising in football injuries and rehab. Johnny has headed up the medical departments at Chesterfield, Scunthorpe and Notts County. Overseeing everything from player-specific training loads to pre-signing medicals. He has a proven record working with elite athletes in Private Practice and is regularly called upon throughout Europe to deliver presentations on the latest rehab innovations.


Matt Nesbitt

Matt Nesbitt On TipTV

@MattNesbitt16

Matt's short, unremarkable football career was ended by his own bad driving. His long, distinguished career as a football tipster was ended by his own good advice. Because bookmakers don’t like a winner. First, they closed his accounts. Then his members’ accounts. Then his tipping service. And now they employ him as a consultant. Funny old game.


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