Coupon Busters - Game Week 32Thursday, March 29 2018
Matt Nesbitt goes on a vlaue hunt this Easter Weekend...
So much for a White Easter.
Here are my forecasts for the weekend…
Banker of the Week
We’ll start with two cheeky Doubles to put the farm on. First up, home wins for Man United (v Swansea) and Arsenal (v Stoke).
Swansea are no longer the Premier League’s ugly ducklings since Carlos Carvalhal took charge, but most of their good work happens on home turf. No wins in seven on the road – including three trips to lower divisions – suggest United will grind this out.
And Arsenal look back to something like the team that has been second only to Man City at home this season. Stoke have smuggled out just a single point from eight Top Half visits.
Bet: Double - Man United & Arsenal to both win at 8/13
11th place Watford host 10th Bournemouth free from the expectation of climbing the table – there’s a 4pt chasm between bigger boys Leicester and Everton. And free from any real danger of dragged into the relegation bun-fight below – there’s a 5pt buffer to the Bottom Six.
Watford have scored for ten home games on the bounce and 11 of Bournemouth’s last 12 have seen goals at both ends. So expect a smug goal-fest.
And Burnley are back on track after consecutive wins, but the bookies still don’t trust them. So we’ll snap up the generous 1/2 Double Chance being dangled at West Brom and double up…
Bet: Double - Watford v Bournemouth BTTS & Burnley Double Chance at 8/5
Value of the Week
Both Man United and Arsenal should win at a canter. No-one has cleaner sheets than David De Gea and Stoke forget to take a goal with them on their travels as often as not. And I’m going to throw Newcastle into the mix.
Toon are unbeaten in five at home and three of their four wins against Bottom Four fodder have been To Nil. And visitors Huddersfield have fired more blanks than anyone on the road this season.
BUT… just in case the Easter bunny lays a chocolate egg on our plans, let’s build in a little security. I propose a Trixie bet, which will cover out stakes if one lets us down.
Bet: Trixie - Man United, Arsenal and Newcastle to all Win To Nil
Note: A Trixie is four bets (three doubles and a treble). So, for example, a £1 stake will cost £4 and pay a maximum return of £26.85 if they all come in. Any two pays £4.40
Watch and earn with these three this weekend…
- Liverpool Win & Under 3.5 Goals at 8/5
- Arsenal Win to Nil
- Tottenham Double Chance 8/13
Bet: Treble at 19/2
Man City will travel to Everton with a few puffed-out International globetrotters in their ranks. Some of whom might let their minds wander to the match they would much rather play in – Tuesday’s Champions League tie at Liverpool.
Everton have no such concerns and Big Sam will have them ready. They’ve already taken a point from the Etihad this season and although I wouldn’t back against City, Everton could force them to take the long way around. So the 8/1 on Man City to Win from Behind might be worth a nibble.
Happy Easter, Badmen.
Dip your bread in.
Ben is football’s leading injury specialist. The ‘go-to’ guru for big hitters like Sky Sports, ESPN and NBC Sports when they need data. Or the BBC, talkSPORT and the broadsheets when a quote is required. His unique insight has helped provide a better understanding of what is really happening in the treatment rooms.
Johnny is a respected physiotherapist and sports scientist, specialising in football injuries and rehab. Johnny has headed up the medical departments at Chesterfield, Scunthorpe and Notts County. Overseeing everything from player-specific training loads to pre-signing medicals. He has a proven record working with elite athletes in Private Practice and is regularly called upon throughout Europe to deliver presentations on the latest rehab innovations.
Matt's short, unremarkable football career was ended by his own bad driving. His long, distinguished career as a football tipster was ended by his own good advice. Because bookmakers don’t like a winner. First, they closed his accounts. Then his members’ accounts. Then his tipping service. And now they employ him as a consultant. Funny old game.