Premier League Preview - Game 22 New Year Fixtures

Sunday, December 31 2017

 

Jeez, it’s relentless this… 

As per, the Tap Ins are short-price bankers best used in Doubles, Trebles and Accas.

The Smart Money bets are for pick-pocketing a bit of value out of the bookies. And there are a few Long Shots in there that are worth a punt. Stake accordingly. 

The Scorecasts are for tackling things like Sky’s Super 6 £250k or Colossus’ £5k - £5 million jackpots    

And there’s £100 in free bets with Colossus is you sign up with this code: RAFMTS5UU4

Let's do it...

New Year’s Day:
Brighton v Bournemouth
Brighton are neat and tidy and competing well, but under the current rules there is only so far you can go without scoring goals. Two in nine matches is a piss-take. Bournemouth also look a better side on the pitch than they do in numbers. But that’s what they’ll add up in May.
Tap in: Nothing to take to the bank here.
Smart Money: Draw & Under 3.5 Goals at 5/2.
Scorecast: Both to settle for a 1-1. 

Burnley v Liverpool
Burnley have taken just three points from four matches over the festive period, by far their worst form of the season. Three tough away trips and a rampant Tottenham will have drained their tank too, so a clean sheet will be difficult against free-scoring Liverpool. And that means winning will be too. Despite tempting prices…
Tap in: Double Chance: Burnley & Draw at 13/8 is too big to ignore. 
Smart Money: Draw & Under 3.5 Goals is value at 21/5.
Scorecast: Burnley to hang on for a 1-1.

Leicester v Huddersfield
Leicester need a win to rescue a blue Christmas. Just the late point against Man United is an unfair representation, but thems the beats. Huddersfield have ground out three draws but could run out of steam here. 
Tap in: Leicester to win but 8/13 is a little short for my tastes.
Long Shot: Leicester Win, Under 10.5 Corners & Over 35.5 Booking Points at 9/2.(Coral via #YourCall)
Scorecast: A hard-fought 2-1.

Stoke v Newcastle
Mark Hughes’ picked the team for this match before the 0-5 concession to Chelsea, so must win to save face. Perhaps even his job. But three points would make for a solid return over Christmas. Newcastle look desperately in need of reinforcements and also shuffled the pack last time out. 
Tap in: Nothing squealing here.
Smart Money: Draw & Under 3.5 Goals is decent value at 29/10.
Long Shot: Stoke Win, Under 10.5 Corners & Over 35.5 Booking Points at 8/1. (Coral via #YourCall)
Scorecast: Fancy Stoke might edge it 1-0.
 
Everton v Man United
Beep beep beep… Might not be a great spectacle once these two buses are backed into position. But both teams need a positive result to dredge some joy out of Christmas. Everton’s goals have dried up again, but will take some shifting. And Jose is running out of excuses for his misfiring United. 
Tap in: Anthony Martial to have 2+ Shots at 4/5 is better than any Match Results. (Coral via #YourCall)
Smart Money: Draw & Under 3.5 Goals is value at 14/5. But to make it interesting I’m tempted by…
Long Shot: Both Teams to Score: NO, Over 10.5 Corners & Over 35.5 Booking Points at 13/2.
Scorecast: Hmm, 1-0 either way. I’ll go United. 

Tuesday:
Southampton v Crystal Palace

A draw at Old Trafford went some way to erasing the shocker at Tottenham, but Saints will have bigger problems posed by Palace’s front three (and the 10/11 Home Win price is an insult). Scoring the last minute penalty might’ve been a bit rich, but Roy’s boys are on the up and a handful for anyone outside the Top Six.
Tap in: Double Chance: Palace or Draw at 20/23.
Long Shot: Palace & Under 2.5 Goals is a snip at 7/1. 
Scorecast: Has got the look of a tired 0-0.

Swansea v Tottenham
If Swansea stay up – which I doubt – they will look at the late turnaround at Watford as the turning point. It’s also taken the pressure off here. But Tottenham’s recent revival (not to mention the week to prepare) should be more than enough to get the job done.
Tap in: The 1/3 Away Win has limited appeal.
Smart Money: Tottenham & Under 3.5 Goals is preferable to Win To Nil at 21/20.
Scorecast: At a canter 0-2.

West Ham v West Brom
The week between matches makes West Ham hard to oppose against a West Brom team that looks as far away from winning matches/ turning things around/ staying up as when Tony Pulis was in charge. Plus Moyes’ lot have goals in them. So…
Tap in: Home Win at 10/11.
Smart Money: West Ham & Under 3.5 Goals gives us 2-0, 2-1 and 3-0 which should do it. 7/5.
Scorecast: We’ll go 2-0.

Man City v Watford
You’ve got to fear for Watford. A little dip in form, a bit of bad luck and calamitous last few minutes against Swansea has undone their really good start. The last thing they need is a raping at City followed by an early FA Cup exit by Bristol City, but you wouldn’t back against it.    
Smart Money: Man City/ Man City in the HT/FT at 4/6 is the best available.
Scorecast: Pfft. I dunno. 3-0?

Arsenal v Chelsea
Whisper it, but Arsenal are starting to motor a little bit. Especially at home. And don’t even mouth the words, but Jack Wilshere looks good too. Chelsea usually bring the best out of them too, so we shouldn’t expect much to be asked or given here. Top Four-wise a point apiece wouldn’t do any harm.
Tap In: Arsenal Draw No Bet at 4/5 looks pleasant enough.
Smart Money: The Draw & Both Teams to Score at 16/5 is also worth a nibble. 
Scorecast: On the fence 1-1.

Before wading in with all your Christmas money, bear in mind that in most cases the fourth match in the space of a week. So we can expect the odd quirky one. Just saying.

Oh and Happy New Year, yeah?
 

Matt Nesbitt

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World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

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