Premier League Preview - Game 21Thursday, December 28 2017
There’s me getting all ‘Jose’ about fixture congestion, rattling on about shocks in store from the Christmas matches and Ping Pang Poom – it’s all 12pts profit from Boxing Day here… 11/4 and 7/1 winners from Newcastle v Man City there…
So I’ve kept my lucky pants on and polished my crystal balls to see if we can do it again this weekend.
As per, the Tap Ins are short-price bankers best used in Doubles, Trebles and Accas.
The Smart Money bets are for pick-pocketing a bit of value out of the bookies. And there are a few Long Shots in there that are worth a punt. Stake accordingly.
The Scorecasts are for tackling things like Sky’s Super 6 £250k or Colossus’ £5k - £5 million jackpots
And there’s £100 in free bets with Colossus is you sign up with this code: RAFMTS5UU4
Sing it, fellas…
Bournemouth v Everton
No wins in eight and growing injury list has Bournemouth teetering on the brink of a crisis. Just a single point from 11 matches v Top Half teams doesn’t bode well. Everton’s ship has been well and truly steadied. The next step is going to places like this and winning. But I’m not convinced.
Tap in: Nothing to hang your hat on here.
Smart Money: Draw & Under 2.5 Goals is value at 14/5.
Scorecast: Everton the happier with a 1-1.
Chelsea v Stoke
Chelsea are in efficient but not spectacular mode at the moment. They might be glad their festive fixtures haven’t been more testing. Stoke have haemorrhaged goals against Top Five teams – 21 in five so far. No joy for Sparky or Badmen – the bookies have priced the life out of this. But…
Tap in: Home Win but not at 1/6.
Smart Money: Chelsea Win & Under 3.5 Goals is better – but not much - at 11/10.
Scorecast: A functional 2-0.
Huddersfield v Burnley
Huddersfield have certainly found their feet – and confidence in the Pl. And wrestled a 0-0 out of Burnley at their place so will their eyes on another point here. Burnley’s challenge is staying ‘on it’ in between glamour ties v Spurs and Man United and upcoming Liverpool and City matches. Can’t see them losing though.
Tap in: Double Chance: Burnley or Draw at 4/7.
Smart Money: Burnley Win & Under 3.5 Goals is value at 14/5.
Long Shot: Five 1-0 wins already says it is worth a punt at 13/2
Scorecast: Dyche likes a 0-1.
Liverpool v Leicester
A goalfest on paper. We know Liverpool’s front four have got a goal apiece in them. But Leicester are perfectly equipped to damage their back five, although the impending arrival from Southampton might prompt a reaction. Leicester have had a tough run of results and will fancy they can hurt Liverpool.
Tap in: Both Teams to Score at 8/11.
Smart Money: Liverpool Win & Both Teams to Score is a sensible 6/4.
Scorecast: I’ll take a 3-1.
Newcastle v Brighton
After a creditable showing against City’s Harlem Globetrotters, Newcastle need to take points from their next three matches (Brighton, Stoke and Swansea). They have been pretty effective against the Bottom Third – W5 D2 L1 - although Brighton are currently hovering just above it. Away goals remain elusive though.
Tap in: Under 2.5 Goals at 8/15.
Smart Money: Newcastle Win To Nil at 21/10.
Scorecast: Stuck between 1-0 and 2-0. You choose.
Watford v Swansea
Watching Swansea taking a five-star hiding at Liverpool was like seeing a puppy being beaten to death. This shouldn’t be as punishing I’ll still be watching through my fingers. Watford needed – and deserved – the break of Kasper Schmeichel throwing one in his own net. Expect a high energy showing ahead of their Man City trip.
Tap in: Home Win at 4/6.
Smart Money: Don’t trust Swansea to score so Watford & Over 2.5 Goals at 15/8.
Long Shot: Swansea’s last three away goals have taken the lead, so let’s have a punt on Swansea/ Watford in the HT/FT market at 28/1.
Scorecast: Let’s go 2-1.
Man United v Southampton
Remember when last minute goals at Old Trafford used to win games, rather than snatch draws against the likes of Burnley. They’ve made a right pigs ear of the last two, spilling four big points. But Southampton looked like a team of triallists playing for a transfer against Tottenham. Which, of course, they mostly are.
Tap in: Home Win but not at 4/11 thank you very much.
Smart Money: Man United/ Man United in the HT/FT is better at 21/20.
Long Shot: Coral are throwing up Man United Win, Lukaku to have 3+ shots and Matic win 2+ tackles at 4/1.
Scorecast: Back to something like business – 3-0.
Crystal Palace v Man City
You can’t back against them, but Man City will have to work for this. Palace have revived their season on a fairly friendly set of fixtures, but have goals in them – averaging two a match over the last seven. City, of course, can pull goals out of a hat but won’t be suited to Sunday morning football. So I’m going for it here…
Tap in: Both Teams to Score at 4/5.
Smart Money: Man City & Both Teams to Score at 8/5.
Long Shot: Let’s have a 14/1 nibble on the Draw & Over 3.5 Goals.
Scorecast: Although I suspect City will do enough 1-2.
West Brom v Arsenal
Hmm. West Brom, eh? Arsenal on the road, you say? Tricky pair these two. Albion’s form hasn’t been that bad, but 19 without a win is some bump in the road to get over. Arsenal are – at best – hit and miss on their travels. So I’m going to have to play the value here.
Tap in: Move along please. Nothing to see here.
Smart Money: Arsenal Win & Under 3.5 Goals at 8/5.
Long Shot: The Draw & Under 2.5 Goals could look like an open goal missed at 15/4.
Scorecast: Arsenal. Just. 1-2.
Look out for my Coupon Busters on Friday.
Who the hell is Matt Nesbitt?
Punter. Tipster. Collector. Of winnings.
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World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson
The planned football career that would allow Matt to spend every afternoon in the bookies was cut mercifully short. So he was able to spend his mornings there too.
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