Midweek Preview - Game Week 17Tuesday, December 12 2017
On the twelfth day of Christmas my BadMan gave to me… a full program of Premier League predictions.
I’ve thrown a Long Shots category into the soup to give us a bit more flexibility.
So you’ll now get Tap-ins which are mainly short-price, for topping up Doubles, Trebles and Accas. Smart Money bets that show you the best value angle of attack. And Long Shots for a punt when we’ve only got scraps to feed on.
The Scorecasts are for tackling things like Sky’s Super 6 £250k or Colossus’ £5k - £5 million jackpots
Don’t sign up without snaffling up your £100 in free bets with this code: RAFMTS5UU4
Burnley v Stoke City
Burnley have slipped into that ‘Everton’ position – no chance of cracking the Top Six, but well capable of seeing off anybody from 8th down. Five wins from seven and will look forward to playing Stoke – and you never used to be able to say that.
Tap in: Home Win and 5/4 looks good value.
Smart Money: Burnley & Under 2.5 Goals at 16/5.
Scorecast: A fifth 1-0 of the campaign.
Crystal Palace v Watford
Ol’ Clumsy Bastard cost Palace a long overdue win – and us a 4/1 winner – from the spot at the weekend. But will find Watford a tough nut to crack. Three good performances have yielded just a single point. They look good for at least another here.
Tap in: Both Teams to Score at 4/6.
Long Shot: Watford & Both Teams to Score is value at 19/4.
Scorecast: Another draw that neither wants – 2-2.
Huddersfield v Chelsea
Huddersfield needed Saturday’s win but have picked their battles this season – just 4pts and three goals from six matches v Top Seven - so won’t have scheduled a return form this one. It’s Chelsea that need the win here.
Tap in: Chelsea win but 2/5 is short.
Smart Money: Chelsea & Under 3.5 Goals is better at Evens.
Scorecast: Normal service resumed – 0-2.
Newcastle United v Everton
Newcastle’s late OG is the sort of thing that can crush spirits – and take down 3/1 bets, eyes roll. They are teetering on the edge at the moment and Everton will be feeling mischievous after smuggling a point out of Anfield (and pick pocketing a 7/1 winning slip from us).
Tap in: Everton Draw No Bet at 11/10.
Long Shot: Everton & Both Teams to Score is worth a punt at 11/2.
Scorecast: A 1-1 won’t be a bad night’s work for both managers.
Southampton v Leicester City
Southampton get on my bugle, they really do. Were they good, or was it a bit early for Arsenal’s darlings? At least they offer a goal threat with Charlie back in the fold. Leicester are three from three but will have to work harder for anything they get out of this match than at Newcastle.
Tap in: Both teams to Score at 4/5.
Smart Money: The Draw & Both Teams to Score looks value at 17/5.
Scorecast: All square 1-1.
Swansea v Man City
Seeing off West Brom probably bought Paul Clement a bit of time, regardless of what happens against City. Losing won’t define their season so a spirited showing will do here. Likewise for City. Expect them to do enough but I suspect the team will be picked with Tottenham on Saturday in mind.
Smart Money: Man City & Under 3.5 Goals allows 0-3 or another 1-2. 6/5 is fair.
Scorecast: An arms-length-hand-on-head 0-2.
Liverpool v West Brom
West Brom could suffer a backlash here for Liverpool’s custard pie-ing at the weekend. Klopp will be fuming. Lovren, watching. West Brom’s 0-0 v Palace and listless 1-0 defeat at Swansea will have no doubt delighted the board as they counted out Tony Pulis’ severance pay.
Tap in: Liverpool to Nil at 10/11.
Long Shot: Correct Score 3-0 at 6/1.
Scorecast: Err, 3-0.
Man United v Bournemouth
United will be glad to get back on the pitch – and even more pleased that Man City aren't on it. They are as efficient at home to teams below them (seven wins, one goal conceded) as Bournemouth are cannon fodder to Top Half teams (one point from eight games). Liverpool, Chelsea (in the cup) and City up next. Ouch.
Tap in: Man United Win to Nil at Evens.
Long Shot: Correct Score 3-0.
Scorecast: Back in the saddle 3-0.
Tottenham v Brighton
Losing at Huddersfield would’ve sent Brighton reeling a bit. It’s just one point (and one goal) from four matches now and no goals away to Top Half teams. Spurs’ looked back to their old selves against Stoke and more of the same would be a good tune up for City at the weekend.
Tap in: Tottenham Win to Nil at 10/11.
Long Shot: Three in three Son to be First Scorer is value at 4/1
Scorecast: Threesy does it 3-0.
West Ham v Arsenal
After matching Man City for 85 minutes and beating Chelsea, the Hammers will be looking to put a dent or two in the Gunners. Arsenal’s away record is only marginally better than Bournemouth and Brighton, neither of whom would be anywhere near 4/6 favourites to win this.
Tap in: Double Chance West Ham/ Draw has to be taken at 5/4.
Smart Money: West Ham & Both Teams to Score is value at 8/1.
Scorecast: A fancy Arsenal will summon enough for a point 1-1.
I’ve got tray full of delicious homemade Coupon Busters in the oven. Ready to serve shortly…
Who the hell is Matt Nesbitt?
Punter. Tipster. Collector. Of winnings.
Meet the good boy behind Badman Betting...
World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson
The planned football career that would allow Matt to spend every afternoon in the bookies was cut mercifully short. So he was able to spend his mornings there too.
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