Premier League Preview - Game Week 16

Thursday, December 7 2017


I'll be performing a full cavity search on the Scouse and Manc derbies in this week's Match Profiles - look out for the post on Saturday morning. But here's a quick frisk of the rest of the weekend coupon... 

Tap-ins are, well, exactly that. Short prices so keep them for topping up your Doubles, Trebles and Accas. 

The Smart Money bets guide you to pickpocketing a bit of value from the Bookies.

And the Scorecasts are for tackling things like Sky's Super 6 £250k or Colossus’ £5k - £5 million jackpots.

Colossus will give you £10 in free bets if you sign up with this code: RAFMTS5UU4

West Ham v Chelsea
Getting to within seven minutes of an unlikely point at Man City will have the Hammers pumped up, but I suspect they will feel the pressure at home. Especially when the visitors have only dropped four points on the road all season.
Tap in: Chelsea Win but too short at 1/2.
Smart Money: Chelsea Win & Under 3.5 Goals is much more like it at 14/5.
Scorecast:  0-1 will do for the Blues.

Burnley v Watford
By now Burnley will expect points from a match like this, but have played all the Bottom Six now and need to start scoring more than one at a time. Watford probably deserved more than one point from their last two v Spurs and Man United. And do their best work on the road.  
Tap in: Under 2.5 Goals at 6/10, but…
Smart Money: ...Both Teams to Score is better at Evens. 
Scorecast: Not much between these two - 1-1.

Crystal Palace v Bournemouth
Only one defeat in six is progress for Palace, but just seven points won suggests it’s slow. Another two goals here – like in their previous four home matches, should take the points. Bournemouth have Man United, City and Liverpool after this so must leave with something.
Tap in: First Half Under 1.5 Goals at 1/3 – but just for Multiples.
Smart Money:  Draw/ Palace is the best value home win option at 15/4.
Scorecast: Fancy Palace to nick it 2-1.

Huddersfield v Brighton
The top flite looks to have caught up with both of these in the last month or so. Huddersfield look on the verge of a tailspin to me and don’t look capable of more than a goal a game at home. Brighton are tidy v teams below them, taking 14 points from a possible 21 so far.
Tap in: Brighton Draw No Bet at Evens.
Smart Money: Brighton & Under 3.5 Goals is value at 12/5.
Scorecast:  Brighton in slightly better fettle. 0-1 

Swansea v West Brom
Not sure which is worse – six defeats in seven, one goal in five, or three home blanks in a row. Either way, Swansea are in the shit. Three decent West Brom showings has yielded just three points. One half decent one here will take three.  
Tap in: Under 2.5 Goals is short at 4/9 but looks nailed on.
Smart Money: 12/5 for West Brom & Under 3.5 Goals appeals.
Scorecast: It won’t be pretty. 0-1.

Tottenham v Stoke City
Spurs can put the Champions League hoopla away until February and get back on track here. They are efficient against Bottom Half teams (W8 D2) but the absence of Davinson Sanchez will encourage Stoke. The Potters have only failed to score once on the road this season. Might need a couple here though.
Tap in: Both Teams to Score at 10/11
Smart Money: Tottenham Win & Both teams to Score is easily the best home win option at 9/5.
Scorecast: Fragile Spurs to come out firing. 3-1.

Newcastle United v Leicester City
Just one point from five matches has Newcastle teetering on the brink of their next crisis. Firing three blanks in their five home matches against teams above them is part of their problem.  Keeping out a rejuvenated Vardy and Mahrez will be another. Leicester are unbeaten in five on the road.  
Tap in: Leicester Draw No Bet at Evens.
Smart Money: The Draw & Both Teams to Score at 13/4.  
Scorecast: A desmond - 2-2.

Southampton v Arsenal
Arsenal’s away form barely puts them into the Top Half of the table. But Southampton seem to have decided on they can and can’t beat, which doesn’t include Top Eight teams – just one goal to show from five matches so far, so fancy Arsenal to pass them to death.
Tap in: Arsenal First Team to Score 7/10.
Smart Money: Arsenal & Under 3.5 Goals is tidy at 21/5.
Scorecast: Steady as she goes 0-2.

Liverpool v Everton 
I hope Big Sam has enjoyed the ego massage of home wins against West Ham and Huddersfield, because it’s almost over. And there will be no happy ending at Anfield. Unless he’s one of those types that like a good hiding. In a German accent.  Now, where was I? Oh yeah, Liverpool win.
Tap in: Home  Win – but not at 2/7, thank you very much.
Smart Money: Liverpool Win to Nil is short at 6/5.  So let’s have a punt on Liverpool Win, Both Teams to Score: NO, Over 10.5 Corners & Under 55.5 Booing Points at 15/2 (via Coral’s #YourCall) 
Scorecast: Liverpool like a 3-0. 

Man United v Man City
Ooh, now then. A title decider in December! Well, only if City win it. Don’t suppose City’s first defeat of the campaign midweek will bother them, but they have been conceding a few goals lately (five in four games). United will need at least one to get anything. And another worldie or two from David De Gea, I suspect.
Tap in: Over 10.5 cliches during Sky’s coverage.
Smart Money: The Draw & Under 2.5 Goals is value at 7/2.
Scorecast: A third 0-0 in five meetings.

My Coupon Busters should be along about noon on Friday. 


Matt Nesbitt

Who the hell is Matt Nesbitt?

Punter. Tipster. Collector. Of winnings.

Meet the good boy behind Badman Betting...

World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

The planned football career that would allow Matt to spend every afternoon in the bookies was cut mercifully short. So he was able to spend his mornings there too.

But rather than spunk his (sweet) FA pension on a day-tripper to Palookaville, Matt played smart. He watched, he listened. Learned his trade and earned a reputation.

But the bookies don’t like a winner...

First they closed his accounts. Then they tried legal action to shut down his tipping services. Now they employ him.

Matt has been providing winning football advice since 1998. And whether it has been via post, premium rate phone line, email, TV or Twitter – he has always made punters money.

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