Premier League Preview - Game Week 15

Thursday, November 30 2017

More David Moyes than Pep Guardiola this week. 

Just four Tap Ins and two Smart Money bets to cheer (or swear repeatedly to yourself about). 

But you can’t keep a good man down. Or a BadMan. 

The Tap Ins are mostly short-price best employed topping up Doubles, Trebles and Accas. Smart Money bets aim to pick the bookies pockets, placing the bets they’d rather you didn’t. 
The Scorecasts are for tackling things like Sky’s Super 6 £250k or Colossus’ £5k - £5 million jackpots   

(Your first £100 with Colossus is on me if you sign up with this code: RAFMTS5UU4).

Have a bang on this…


Chelsea v Newcastle
Honours are even between these two in the last 13 meetings, believe it or not (both W5 D3). But Newcastle’s two points from a possible 27 v teams outside the Bottom Five so far is more helpful. As you were. 
Tap in: Chelsea Win – but swerve the 1/4.
Smart Money: Chelsea Win & Under 3.5 Goals at 21/20.
Scorecast: No slip ups. 2-0.

Brighton v Liverpool
A case of a resistible force v a moveable object. Brighton don’t score against Top Half teams, Liverpool have only managed one clean sheet away. Chock full of goals though. Only failed to score 3+ once in their last seven (all comps).
Tap in: Liverpool Win but 1/2 is too short.
Smart Money: Liverpool/ Liverpool HT/FT is a much better 27/20.
Scorecast:. No one has put three past Brighton yet. 0-2.

Everton v Huddersfield
Big Sam (and Lil Wayne) might have already rescued Everton’s mid-table ambitions. To be fair, at home to West Ham was a good place to stop the rot. At home to Huddersfield is a good place to mount a recovery. No goals in five of their six away games.
Tap in: Everton Win but 4/6?? Pff!
Smart Money:  Not sure I trust Everton To Nil. So Under 3.5 Goals it is at 13/10.
Scorecast: A more competitive than you think 2-1.

Leicester v Burnley
Only Man City and Chelsea are currently better on the road than Burnley – but try getting 15/4 on those two away at Leicester! The Foxes play to their level – they win at home and draw away to teams outside the Top Six and lose the rest. Burnley are border line, but can’t see them beaten here.
Tap in: Burnley Draw No Bet at 9/4.
Smart Money: Burnley Win & Under 3.5 Goals is a big value 9/4. 
Scorecast:  A draw wouldn't offend anyone.1-1. 

Stoke v Swansea
This is a must win for Stoke. And Swansea. But neither can be trusted. All of Stoke’s home games have gone Over 2.5 Goals so far, six of Swansea’s seven have stayed Under.  Hmm. 
Tap in: No gimmes here. 
Smart Money: But Stoke Win & Over 2.5 Goals is good value at 23/10.
Scorecast: 3-1 will do it.

Watford v Tottenham 
Watford do their best work on the road but have hit at least two in eight of their last nine outings. Tottenham have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten (all comps). Not a lot of value in a Spurs win after three away defeats on the spin. 
Tap in: Both Teams to Score at 4/6. 
Smart Money: Tottenham Win & Both teams to Score is just about worth it at 11/5.  
Scorecast: Tight, but Tottenham need this. 2-3.

West Brom v Crystal Palace
Two teams with better days ahead, but this is still a six-pointer. Palace are edging steadily towards an away goal but the Baggies will be on best behaviour for Pardew’s first match. A month ago it was a banker 0-0, now I’m not sure. So…
Tap in: Taking a watching brief.  
Smart Money: The Draw/ West Brom HT/FT is value at 17/4.  
Scorecast: A tight squeak but 2-1.

Arsenal v Man United
Arsenal are 100% at home but have only played one Top Seven team. United have lost three of their last foru away, but have the muscle if not the form to get something. An Arsenal win will all but hand the title to City. A United win will put it off a week.    
Tap in: Arsenal Draw No Bet at 8/11.
Smart Money: Draw & Both Teams to Score at 13/4.
Scorecast: Just what Pep wants - 1-1.

Bournemouth v Southampton
This could easily be a Championship match and I, for one, wouldn’t give two monkeys. Don’t really see the point of either team. The sooner that Eddie Howe moves on, takes Callum Wilson with him, and Liverpool buy Southampton wholesale, the better. There, I said it.
Tap in: I'm not playing. 
Smart Money: Still not. 
Scorecast: I dunno. Probably a draw or something. 1-1?

Man City v West Ham
It’s probably a bit unfair to judge David Moyes after just three matches. But the next three are this one, Chelsea and Arsenal so it might actually be favourable. So here goes. Ahem. Shite. The only thing that can slow up City now is the sort of mucking about that let West Brom and Stoke score twice.
Tap in: Nothing worth our while.  
Smart Money: Man City Win & Under 3.5 Goals at 8/5.
Scorecast: Both would take a 3-0 right now.

There'll be coupon busting selection of Coupon Busters right here first thing Friday monring. Followed by Match Profiles of Arsenal v Man United and Man City v West Ham on Saturday. 

Go now. But come back then. Yeah?

Matt Nesbitt

Who the hell is Matt Nesbitt?

Punter. Tipster. Collector. Of winnings.

Meet the good boy behind Badman Betting...

World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

The planned football career that would allow Matt to spend every afternoon in the bookies was cut mercifully short. So he was able to spend his mornings there too.

But rather than spunk his (sweet) FA pension on a day-tripper to Palookaville, Matt played smart. He watched, he listened. Learned his trade and earned a reputation.

But the bookies don’t like a winner...

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Matt has been providing winning football advice since 1998. And whether it has been via post, premium rate phone line, email, TV or Twitter – he has always made punters money.

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