Match Profiles - Your Weekend TV Guide

Saturday, November 25 2017

 

I don’t know how these things work, but Liverpool v Chelsea got the nod over Crystal Palace v Stoke and Swansea v Bournemouth for Saturday’s TV match. So that’s where we start…


Liverpool v Chelsea. 5.30pm on BT Sport

I’m a stats man. It should always be the first and is often the best place to look. After all, if you knew something happened nine times out of ten, you’d bet on it wouldn’t you?

However, I don’t fancy Liverpool to keep a fifth clean sheet on the spin. Chelsea’s big balls swing lower than the three pub teams (Southampton, Mirabor and Huddersfield) and the impotent Man United that Klopp’s lot kept out. That’s without even mentioning the midweek butchering in Seville. Oh.

Plus, only Man City have been better than Chelsea on the road so far. Two away goals is standard. And they’re three without conceding. History tells us that 11 of the last 12 Premier League meetings have seen goals at both ends and half of them have been draws. So here’s the juice…

Tap ins

  • Both Teams to Score looks nailed-on, but 4/7 is of little interest. 
  • The Draw has to be worth a look. But it’s not going to finish 0-0, so swerve the 13/5 in favour of 13/4 on the Draw & Both Teams to Score.   

Long Shots

  • Backing the Draw/ Draw in the Half-time/ Full-time market will push your return up to 19/4 (that’s a smidge under 5/1 in old money).
  • Coral are paying 4/1 for Both Teams to Score, Under 11.5 Corners & Over 35.5 Booking Points in their #YourCall section.

 

Moving on to Sunday, Southampton v Everton looks dreadful so let’s try to dredge a bit of value out of Man City shall we…? 

Huddersfield v Man City. 4pm on Sky

Huddersfield are two for two at home, including City’s not so noisy neighbours. But with City in their current mood, it’s all about how they approach the match. And how we approach the win markets. 

They are 100% on the road so far, conceding just three goals. Both to Bottom Half teams. Pep’s missing precious Stones could make them a bit vulnerable and I suspect bigger challenges to come might mean a certain amount of cruise control. So I’m ducking the clean sheet options and playing like this…

Tap Ins

  • Man City (-1) Goal Handicap at 8/15 and City/ City Half-time/ Full-time at 4/6 look the best alternatives to the Away Win. 

Long Shots

  • Coral are paying 4/1 on Man City to Win, Over 10.5 Corners & Under 35.5 Booking Points in their #YourCall section.

Have a gargle on that.

Matt Nesbitt

 

Ben Dinnery

Ben Dinnery

@BenDinnery

Ben is football’s leading injury specialist. The ‘go-to’ guru for big hitters like Sky Sports, ESPN and NBC Sports when they need data. Or the BBC, talkSPORT and the broadsheets when a quote is required. His unique insight has helped provide a better understanding of what is really happening in the treatment rooms.


Johnny Wilson

Johnny Wilson

@johnny_wilson5

Johnny is a respected physiotherapist and sports scientist, specialising in football injuries and rehab. Johnny has headed up the medical departments at Chesterfield, Scunthorpe and Notts County. Overseeing everything from player-specific training loads to pre-signing medicals. He has a proven record working with elite athletes in Private Practice and is regularly called upon throughout Europe to deliver presentations on the latest rehab innovations.


Matt Nesbitt

Matt Nesbitt On TipTV

@MattNesbitt16

Matt's short, unremarkable football career was ended by his own bad driving. His long, distinguished career as a football tipster was ended by his own good advice. Because bookmakers don’t like a winner. First, they closed his accounts. Then his members’ accounts. Then his tipping service. And now they employ him as a consultant. Funny old game.


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