BadMan Betting's Weekend TV Guide

Friday, November 17 2017

 

Now that England have been re-installed as World Champions-elect after gloriously avoiding defeat against Germany and Brazil, let's get back to some Premier League business shall we...

Two tasty TV treats on offer Saturday. Starting at the Emirates…

Arsenal v Tottenham. 12.30pm on Sky.

Yes, I know the formbook is supposed to be torn up, then thrown out the window in local derbies. But I’ve done neither.    

Man City aside, this is the PL’s best home team v best away team. History says ‘nip’, I say ‘tuck’. Nip, tuck. Nip, tuck. 

There’s no denying the PL power has shifted from red to white in recent years – Spurs are unbeaten in six meetings - but picking a winner is pissing in the wind. We can expect goals though. Fourteen of the last 18 North London knees-ups have seen goals at both ends.

Alderwerield’s twinged hamstring and the doubley doubtful Spurs keepers Lloris and Vorm will only help matters. Keeper No. 3 Gazzaniga will deputise, despite having a funny name. Ha! Gazzaniga. 

Tap In

  • Both Teams to Score is a gimme, but of no interest to us at odds of 1/2. The Draw also looks handy, paying out in three of the last four and four of the last six PL meetings. But we’ll swerve the 5/2 in favour of the 16/5 on offer in the Draw & Both Teams to Score. 

Long Shot

  • I’m not a massive fan of First/ Last Scorer bets, but a well-rested Harry Kane has hit six in six against Arsenal and if anyone ever fit the profile he does. So I’ll go Last Scorer at 10/3.

And for a right, rollicking knees up of a price have a bang on this…

Speculative Effort

  • Coral are paying 13/2 for the Draw, Over 3.5 Cards and Harry Kane to Score (via #YourCall).

(Ladbrokes (#GetAPrice) and William Hill (#YourOdds) will offer similar prices). 

Next up, we go to the Theatre of increasingly dull Dreams... 

Man United v Newcastle United
5.30pm BT Sport.

United have looked a bit wobbly since coming up against some Top Half teams. But only City have been better at home so far. There’s talk of Zlatan being on the bench, but probably just to lend Lukaku his banjo for the cows-arse hitting duties that he has been neglecting in his last seven matches. 

Lascelles will be a bigger miss for Toon than Jones for United if neither make it. But scoring will pose bigger problems for Newcastle than keeping them out the other end. They’ve fired three blanks in five away trips and De Gea is yet to beaten at Old Trafford.  

Tap Ins

  • We can’t ignore the Home Win, but give the 2/7 the finger and take the Win To Nil at 5/6. Or even better have a nibble on the Man United & Under 2.5 Goals at much saucier 2/1. 

I don’t trust the fours they were hitting teams for earlier in the season. And there’s Champions League business to attend to in the week, so expect Jose to start reversing the bus into position at 1-0. 

Long Shots

  • Newcastle have developed a taste for 1-0s this season. Two for, four against. And Jose likes a 1-0 almost as much as he does a 2-0. If this match was played five times, I’d fancy at least one to end 1-0 so 5/1 is worth a punt in my book.  

Dip your bread in, bad men.
 

Matt Nesbitt

Who the hell is Matt Nesbitt?

Punter. Tipster. Collector. Of winnings.

Meet the good boy behind Badman Betting...

World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

World Cup 2010 Prediction Panel with Ruud Gullit and Sky’s Charlotte Jackson

The planned football career that would allow Matt to spend every afternoon in the bookies was cut mercifully short. So he was able to spend his mornings there too.

But rather than spunk his (sweet) FA pension on a day-tripper to Palookaville, Matt played smart. He watched, he listened. Learned his trade and earned a reputation.

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Matt has been providing winning football advice since 1998. And whether it has been via post, premium rate phone line, email, TV or Twitter – he has always made punters money.

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